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DTN Midday Grain Comments 06/16 10:51
Corn, Wheat Futures Mixed at Midday Tuesday; Soybeans Higher
Corn futures are narrowly mixed at midday Tuesday; soybean futures are 6 to
8 cents higher; wheat futures are 3 cents lower to 8 cents higher.
David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
Corn futures are narrowly mixed at midday Tuesday; soybean futures are 6 to
8 cents higher; wheat futures are 3 cents lower to 8 cents higher. The U.S.
stock market is mixed at midday with the S&P 13 points lower. The U.S. Dollar
Index is 2 points lower. The interest rate products are firmer. Energy trade is
mixed with crude off 3.60 and natural gas up .08. Livestock trade is firmer
with cattle sharply higher. Precious metals are weaker with gold off 4.00.
CORN:
Corn futures are narrowly mixed at midday with trade chopping around in
two-sided trade with little fresh news to entice corn buyers with oversold
conditions holding. Ethanol margins should remain strong with summer usage
supporting blenders even as unleaded continues to ease. The daily export wire
was quiet again. Basis continues to hold the recent range for now. Weather
looks to keep concerns limited with rains staying in the center of the Corn
Belt with cooler temps through midmonth. Weekly crop progress showed good to
excellent at 68% (+1%) and 6% poor to very poor with 94% emerged versus 93% on
average. On the July chart, the 20-day moving average at $4.37 is resistance
with the fresh low at $4.06 1/2 as support, which we scored Monday.
SOYBEANS:
Soybean futures are 6 to 8 cents higher with sharp gains from overnight
weakness to start the day session with rumors about new-crop demand export wise
while products continue to struggle. Meal is 1.00 to 2.00 higher and oil is 150
to 160 points lower. Basis is holding the recent gains, but crush margins are
fading a bit with the meal and oil struggles. Weather should allow for good
development with the weekly report showing conditions unchanged at 66% good to
excellent, and 6% poor to very poor with 88% emerged versus 82% on average, and
95% planted versus 93% on average. The daily wire was quiet still, but
announcements will be expected soon. On the July contract chart, resistance is
the 20-day moving average at $11.55 with the fresh low scored Monday at $11.04
1/2 as support.
WHEAT:
Wheat futures are 3 cents lower to 8 cents higher with Chicago action
leading with row-crop spillover still mixed and harvest pressure to linger.
Harvest should continue to expand with weekly crop progress for winter wheat at
25% complete versus 11% on average, with 27% good to excellent, and 45% poor to
very poor with spring wheat 6% headed versus 5% on average, and 55% good to
excellent (+3%) and 6% poor to very poor. Matif wheat is solidly higher as
well. On the KC July chart, resistance is the 20-day moving average at $6.53
with the recent low at $6.15 1/2 as support.
David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com
Follow him on social platform X @davidfiala
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